Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservatives are on a roll in Ontario that could finally allow Mr. Harper to crack the Liberal bastion that has eluded him since he first led his party into a federal general election in 2004—the city of Toronto.
With 24 concentrated ridings, it is the last area of Ontario left for the Conservatives to make enough headway that, combined with other gains, could tip Mr. Harper into a majority in the election widely expected to take place early in 2011.
Pollster Nik Nanos pointed out to The Hill Times that his firm's latest numbers give the Conservatives 42 per cent of support from decided voters in the seat-rich province, nearly a third of the House of Commons. The Liberals registered at only 35 per cent, a 20 to 30 percentage point drop from the heydays of prime minister Jean Chrétien.
"We know that when the Conservatives are in majority territory, usually they are winning seats that they held in